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Evidence and method

Task exposure does not predict job loss

Task exposure estimates how technology may affect activities within an occupation. Employment outcomes also depend on adoption, costs, demand, institutions and how jobs are reorganized. A task score is not a personal redundancy probability.

By Core Loop Press · Prepared with AI assistance · Sources and method reviewed

  1. 1. CapabilityCan a task change?
  2. 2. AdoptionWill a workplace use it?
  3. 3. EmploymentWhat happens to roles?
Conceptual explanation created for this page; not a chart of measured results.

The tool keeps measures separate

Your Job and AI compares research-based potential exposure, observed Claude activity, and employment and pay context. The sources have different samples and denominators. Observed activity on one service is not a census of every worker’s AI use.

Read a result as a question

Ask which tasks contribute to the estimate, which responsibilities remain and whether the job changes through assistance, substitution or expanded demand. The ILO distinguishes exposure from realized job outcomes. Neither the score nor an observed activity share establishes a company’s hiring or layoff decision.

Limitations

Scores describe source-specific task assessments. They cannot determine whether you personally will lose work or when. Pay and occupation totals may refer to different dates from AI activity.

Sources and verification

Follow the original source for its scope, definitions and updates. Review date refers to this companion, not a new data release.

  1. ILO · Generative AI and Jobs (2025)
    Occupational task exposure is not a forecast of job losses.
  2. Core Loop Press · actual tool sources
    Research exposure, observed usage and occupation data kept distinct.